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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The Texans rank as the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.5% pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 128.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Texans this year (only 54.4 per game on average).
  • With a subpar 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (4th percentile) this year, Nick Chubb places among the top pass-catching running backs in football in picking up extra yardage.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles rank as the best unit in football this year in regard to pass rush.

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