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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.24 seconds per snap, the model projects the Houston Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Nick Chubb has accrued a staggering 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not seem too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has been gouged for the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (34.0) versus running backs this year.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Texans, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Texans to pass on 54.6% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Raiders defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
  • The Texans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • With a lackluster 4.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (20th percentile) this year, Nick Chubb stands among the bottom RBs in the pass game in the league.

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