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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Texans will be forced to start backup QB Davis Mills in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • With a 64.1% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL has been the Houston Texans.
  • The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see only 129.4 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Nick Chubb grades out as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs, completing a mere 69.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 18th percentile.
  • With a subpar 4.0 adjusted yards per target (21st percentile) this year, Nick Chubb places as one of the worst RBs in the pass game in the league.
  • Nick Chubb grades out as one of the weakest running backs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

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