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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+126/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 135.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Nick Chubb to total 13.4 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 10th-least run-oriented team in football (37.5% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Houston Texans.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • After making up 59.0% of his offense's carries last season, Nick Chubb has been less involved in the ground game this season, now accounting for just 46.8%.
  • The Denver defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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