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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+108/-126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have 132.7 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 7th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 37.0% run rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • After taking on 59.0% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Nick Chubb has been called on less the ground game this season, now making up just 46.8%.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 5th-best unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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