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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Texans, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.
  • The projections expect the Texans as the 10th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 45.4% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • In terms of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.24 seconds per snap, the model projects the Houston Texans as the 2nd-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.
  • The Raiders defensive tackles project as the 3rd-worst group of DTs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Nick Chubb has been much less involved in his team's run game this year (33.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (59.0%).

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