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Nick Chubb Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Nick Chubb Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-139/+109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.22 seconds per play.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Buffalo's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Texans will be forced to utilize backup QB Davis Mills in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Texans being a -6-point underdog this week.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Texans to run on 38.1% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.

The model projects Nick Chubb to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game in this week's game (24.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (40.2% in games he has played).

More Nick Chubb Player Props

Nick Chubb CarriesPlayer Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

Nick Chubb Carries
Player Prop Week 12