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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

Nelson Agholor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (42.7 per game) this year.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Ravens profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.22 seconds per snap.

Nelson Agholor has been less involved as a potential target this year (43.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (54.5%).

Nelson Agholor's pass-catching performance tailed off this year, averaging a measly 1.1 adjusted receptions compared to 2.2 last year.

More Nelson Agholor Player Props

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