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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders

Nelson Agholor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 8th-most plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).

When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Washington's CB corps has been atrocious this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a massive 8-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

Nelson Agholor's 1.1 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 2.2 rate.

Nelson Agholor's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 80.0% to 51.7%.

More Nelson Agholor Player Props

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