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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Nelson Agholor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • With a remarkable 76.9% Adjusted Completion Rate (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Nelson Agholor has been as one of the best possession receivers in football among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are forecasted by the projections to run only 61.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • Nelson Agholor's 1.2 adjusted catches per game this season illustrates a significant decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 2.2 rate.

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