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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Nelson Agholor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+186/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -238 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -250.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This year, the feeble Buffalo Bills pass defense has been torched for a massive 70.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Buffalo's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 49.1% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Nelson Agholor has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (45.1% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (57.2%).

Nelson Agholor's 1.0 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 2.2 figure.

Nelson Agholor's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 80.0% to 48.1%.

More Nelson Agholor Player Props

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