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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Nelson Agholor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's group of CBs has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.5 plays per game.
  • Nelson Agholor's 45.4% Route Participation Rate this year shows a material regression in his air attack volume over last year's 57.2% figure.
  • Nelson Agholor's receiving talent has worsened this year, averaging a mere 1.0 adjusted catches vs 2.2 last year.

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