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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the predictive model to run 65.7 total plays in this game: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.

This year, the shaky Browns defense has conceded the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a colossal 4.56 YAC.

The Cleveland cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst group of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

Nelson Agholor has gone out for fewer passes this year (43.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (54.5%).

Nelson Agholor's 15.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season conveys a substantial decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 26.0 mark.

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