My Account Log Out

reorder

Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-118/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (42.7 per game) this year.

After averaging 25.0 air yards per game last year, Nelson Agholor has seen a big uptick this year, now averaging 30.0 per game.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Ravens profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.22 seconds per snap.

Nelson Agholor has been less involved as a potential target this year (43.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (54.5%).

Nelson Agholor's 14.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year marks a material diminishment in his receiving ability over last year's 26.0 rate.

More Nelson Agholor Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™