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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 8th-most plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).

When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Washington's CB corps has been atrocious this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a massive 8-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

Nelson Agholor's 12.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season reflects a meaningful regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 26.0 mark.

Nelson Agholor's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 80.0% to 51.7%.

More Nelson Agholor Player Props

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