My Account Log Out

reorder

Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Nelson Agholor grades out as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in a remarkable 77.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

Since the start of last season, the stout Bills defense has allowed a mere 122.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-best in football.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Bills pass defense has conceded the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a meager 3.2 YAC.

More Nelson Agholor Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™