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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Ravens grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season.
  • Nelson Agholor grades out as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in an excellent 80.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile among WRs.
  • Nelson Agholor rates as one of the most efficient receivers in the league, averaging a remarkable 9.04 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 54.4% of their chances: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) since the start of last season.
  • With a feeble 3.17 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (25th percentile) since the start of last season, Nelson Agholor has been among the leading pass-catching WRs in the league in space.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58.8%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (58.8%).

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