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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nelson Agholor has compiled quite a few more air yards this year (31.0 per game) than he did last year (25.0 per game).

Nelson Agholor's 6.31 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a noteworthy progression in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 3.2% figure.

The Steelers pass defense has shown bad efficiency against wide receivers this year, yielding 8.76 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the NFL.

This year, the porous Steelers defense has given up the 6th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wideouts: a whopping 4.57 YAC.

The Pittsburgh cornerbacks profile as the worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 51.2% of their plays: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

At the present time, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.

With a poor 20.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (25th percentile) this year, Nelson Agholor stands among the weakest WRs in the NFL in the league.

Nelson Agholor's 53.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a noteable regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 80.0% figure.

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