Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Nelson Agholor

NFL · Player Props

Nelson Agholor

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Nelson Agholor's possession skills have improved this season, with his Completion% rising from 62.2% to 68.4%.
Nelson Agholor's talent in picking up extra yardage have gotten better this season, notching 4.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 2.84 figure last season.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed the 5th-most receiving yards per game in football (172.0) vs. wideouts this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.
Nelson Agholor has run fewer routes this season (55.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (83.0%).
Nelson Agholor has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (54.0 per game).
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.73 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in football.

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