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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a remarkable tally of 58.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (83rd percentile), Najee Harris has been among the best pure runners in the league since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Chargers as the 9th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 41.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are anticipated by the model to call just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 11th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect Najee Harris to be a less important option in his offense's run game this week (25.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (48.3% in games he has played).

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