Najee Harris Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2025

Updated Sep 16, 2025 2:12 AM EST

Analysis

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 129.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
Najee Harris has picked up 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league among RBs (83rd percentile).

Favors Under

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to run on 40.4% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.6 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
While Najee Harris has garnered 49.1% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a less important option in Los Angeles's rushing attack in this contest at 13.4%.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been fantastic since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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