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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Los Angeles's passing stats last year may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats decreased) in light of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We ought to be able to count on some correction with windier conditions this week.

Najee Harris has generated 63.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (87th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Chargers being a -3-point underdog in this game.

The projections expect the Chargers as the 7th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 40.1% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Chargers to run the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers last year (only 55.5 per game on average).

The predictive model expects Najee Harris to be a much smaller part of his team's ground game in this week's game (24.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (51.3% in games he has played).

More Najee Harris Player Props

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