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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 44.7% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Steelers.

The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Najee Harris to accrue 15.3 rush attempts in this game, on balance, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.

Out of all running backs, Najee Harris ranks in the 84th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 52.5% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Steelers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

This year, the stout Baltimore Ravens run defense has yielded a feeble 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the best in football.

The Baltimore defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best group of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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