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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Najee Harris to earn 4.0 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The Colts defensive ends profile as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to rushing the passer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Najee Harris's 75.8% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates an impressive decrease in his receiving skills over last season's 84.7% rate.

The Colts pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.4%) versus running backs since the start of last season (79.4%).

More Najee Harris Player Props

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