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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+142/-188).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Najee Harris to garner 3.6 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Najee Harris's 15.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 10.0.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) usually cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

The Cleveland defensive ends profile as the 5th-best collection of DEs in football this year with their pass rush.

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