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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.

With regard to a defense's impact on pace, at 27.61 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time.

Opposing offenses have averaged 41.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the NFL.

With a sizeable 9.8% Target% (75th percentile) this year, Najee Harris ranks as one of the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Steelers offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Najee Harris's 76.1% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a substantial decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 84.7% mark.

When it comes to safeties pass-rushing, Baltimore's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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