Najee Harris Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Steelers offense to be the quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.02 seconds per snap.
Najee Harris has played on 53.4% of his offense's snaps this year, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.
The Titans pass defense has conceded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (82.8%) to RBs since the start of last season (82.8%).
The Tennessee Titans linebackers project as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year.

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