My Account Log Out

reorder

Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+126/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to accrue 3.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among running backs.

Najee Harris's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 78.6% to 83.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Najee Harris has been a much smaller part of his team's pass game this year (9.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (15.2%).

Najee Harris's pass-catching performance tailed off this year, totaling a measly 2.7 yards per game vs 4.1 last year.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (70%) versus RBs this year (70.0%).

The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

More Najee Harris Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™