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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chargers to pass on 59.0% of their opportunities: the 10th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.

The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (36.5 per game) since the start of last season.

With a top-tier 9.8% Target% (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Najee Harris places as one of the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in football.

With an exceptional 17.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Najee Harris stands among the best pass-catching running backs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are anticipated by the model to call just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 11th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).

As it relates to air yards, Najee Harris grades out in the measly 8th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging just -3.0 per game.

Najee Harris ranks as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league among running backs, completing a measly 78.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 23rd percentile.

More Najee Harris Player Props

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