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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.0 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Najee Harris to garner 3.6 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Najee Harris's 15.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 10.0.

Najee Harris has notched substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (21.0) this season than he did last season (11.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 50.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) usually cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

When it comes to air yards, Najee Harris grades out in just the 10th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -4.0 per game.

More Najee Harris Player Props

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