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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • With a remarkable 54.2% Snap% (81st percentile) this year, Najee Harris stands as one of the RBs with the most usage in the league.
  • When it comes to air yards, Najee Harris grades out in the lofty 92nd percentile among RBs this year, averaging a staggering 3.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • Najee Harris's pass-catching effectiveness has improved this season, averaging 5.37 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 4.40 mark last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 54.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Green Bay Packers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.1 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.

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