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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Chargers as the 9th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 41.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are anticipated by the model to call just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 11th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically prompt better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect Najee Harris to be a less important option in his offense's run game this week (25.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (48.3% in games he has played).

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