Najee Harris Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

My Account Log Out

reorder

Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Carries

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 1, 2025

Updated Sep 5, 2025 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Los Angeles's passing stats last year may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats decreased) in light of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We ought to be able to count on some correction with windier conditions this week.

Favors Under

A passing game script is suggested by the Chargers being a -3-point underdog in this game.
The projections expect the Chargers as the 7th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 40.1% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Chargers to run the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers last year (only 55.5 per game on average).
The predictive model expects Najee Harris to be a much smaller part of his team's ground game in this week's game (24.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (51.3% in games he has played).

More Najee Harris Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow