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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Los Angeles's passing stats last year may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats decreased) in light of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We ought to be able to count on some correction with windier conditions this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Chargers being a -3-point underdog in this game.

The projections expect the Chargers as the 7th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 40.1% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Chargers to run the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers last year (only 55.5 per game on average).

The predictive model expects Najee Harris to be a much smaller part of his team's ground game in this week's game (24.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (51.3% in games he has played).

More Najee Harris Player Props

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