Najee Harris Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 19, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to accumulate 14.4 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
Najee Harris has earned 56.3% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season in run blocking.
The Cleveland Browns linebackers project as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 42.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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