Najee Harris Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 47.2% of their chances: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
This week, Najee Harris is predicted by the projections to land in the 77th percentile among RBs with 14.7 carries.
Najee Harris has received 53.9% of his offense's run game usage this year, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The Pittsburgh O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football last year in run support.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the projections to call only 63.6 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a measly 55.5 per game on average).
The Patriots safeties rank as the best safety corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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