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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1250/-2000).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Mo Alie-Cox's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 59.3% to 64.1%.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL against the Titans defense this year (77.7% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Colts being an enormous 14-point favorite in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts to be the 3rd-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 50.2% red zone run rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a measly 54.1 per game on average).

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