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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1050/-1550).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1550.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Chargers defensive tackles project as the best collection of DTs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 3rd-most run-oriented team in the NFL in the red zone (50.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Colts.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have only 126.9 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Mo Alie-Cox has posted far fewer air yards this season (3.0 per game) than he did last season (13.0 per game).
  • Mo Alie-Cox's 4.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 9.8.
  • Mo Alie-Cox is positioned as one of the worst possession receivers in football among TEs, completing a measly 61.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 3rd percentile.

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