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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1300/-1750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1700 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1750.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: most in football.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
  • This year, the imposing Cardinals run defense has conceded a paltry 0.60 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 51.0% red zone run rate.
  • Mo Alie-Cox has put up far fewer air yards this year (0.0 per game) than he did last year (13.0 per game).
  • Mo Alie-Cox's 2.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 9.8.

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