My Account Log Out
 
 
Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1300/-3000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2600 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3000.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are predicted by the predictive model to call 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Las Vegas's collection of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Colts to be the 2nd-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 50.7% red zone run rate.
  • Mo Alie-Cox has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (0.0 per game) than he did last year (13.0 per game).
  • Mo Alie-Cox's 2.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 9.8.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™