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Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2600/-4000).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -4000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -4000.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Indianapolis Colts will be forced to use backup QB Philip Rivers in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.At a -13-point disadvantage, the Colts are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.The Colts offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.This year, the imposing Seattle Seahawks run defense has conceded a mere 0.54 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-smallest rate in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Right now, the 4th-most run-centric offense in the league near the end zone (49.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Colts.The leading projections forecast the Colts to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 54.8 plays per game.After accruing 13.0 air yards per game last year, Mo Alie-Cox has gotten worse this year, currently averaging 6.0 per game.Mo Alie-Cox's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 59.3% to 45.1%.
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