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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1000/-1400).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1000.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 131.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Colts offensive line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The Texans linebackers project as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Colts being a 3-point favorite this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.4% red zone run rate.
  • The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
  • After totaling 13.0 air yards per game last season, Mo Alie-Cox has regressed heavily this season, now sitting at 5.0 per game.
  • Mo Alie-Cox's 54.1% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 59.3% rate.

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