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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1150/-1700).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3700 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1700.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -4.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the best in the league this year.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest level in the league vs. the Chiefs defense this year (77.4% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the best unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 5th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 49.1% red zone run rate.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the model to run just 64.2 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • Mo Alie-Cox has posted quite a few less air yards this year (5.0 per game) than he did last year (13.0 per game).
  • Mo Alie-Cox's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 59.3% to 49.0%.

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