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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-1550).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1550.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 4th-most run-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.3% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.4 per game) this year.
  • Mo Alie-Cox has notched quite a few less air yards this season (3.0 per game) than he did last season (13.0 per game).
  • Mo Alie-Cox's 4.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 9.8.

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