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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Mo Alie-Cox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts may lean on the pass less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Philip Rivers.
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Colts being a -4-point underdog this week.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.8% of their opportunities: the 9th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (40.3 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.8 plays per game.
  • Mo Alie-Cox grades out as one of the worst pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a measly 0.7 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 2nd percentile among TEs.
  • Mo Alie-Cox's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 59.3% to 54.0%.
  • This year, the formidable Jacksonville Jaguars defense has yielded a puny 70.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 8th-best rate in football.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been excellent this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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