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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions

Mo Alie-Cox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-215/+165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -215.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Colts, who are giant -7-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

The Colts O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

With a puny 1.2 adjusted receptions per game (17th percentile) this year, Mo Alie-Cox places among the bottom TEs in the pass game in the NFL.

This year, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has surrendered a paltry 66.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-smallest rate in the league.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Detroit's group of safeties has been very good this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

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