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Mo Alie-Cox

Mo Alie-Cox Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Mo Alie-Cox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+122/-162).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the NFL (74.3%) to TEs since the start of last season (74.3%).

The Houston Texans safeties grade out as the worst unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has given their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Indianapolis Colts have utilized play action on 33.6% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a big 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The Colts rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 60.0% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in the league.

Mo Alie-Cox has been among the weakest pass-catching tight ends since the start of last season, averaging just 1.4 receptions per game while checking in at the 23rd percentile among tight ends.

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