Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Mo Alie-Cox

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 4:55 PM UTC

Analysis

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Mo Alie-Cox has totaled a colossal 26.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile among TEs.
Mo Alie-Cox has been among the most efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among TEs, averaging an impressive 8.40 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 76th percentile.
Mo Alie-Cox has been among the best tight ends in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.77 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 78th percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has shown poor efficiency versus TEs since the start of last season, surrendering 8.04 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the league.
Mo Alie-Cox has been among the worst possession receivers in football among tight ends, completing just 59.5% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 5th percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.