Mitchell Trubisky Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Mitchell Trubisky

NFL · Player Props

Mitchell Trubisky

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Pass Attempts

Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Mitchell Trubisky Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+106/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -131 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.3% pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box versus opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 9th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Mitchell Trubisky to attempt 27.0 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have elected to go for it on 4th down a mere 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (4th-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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