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Mitchell Evans

Mitchell Evans Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Mitchell Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a heavy 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • The Panthers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • This year, the feeble Seahawks defense has conceded a whopping 64.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends: the 8th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.0% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72.9%) to tight ends this year (72.9%).
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 7th-best in football.

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