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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+405/-495).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +495 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +405.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 60.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 63.5 per game on average).
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Miles Sanders's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 86.5% to 100.0%.
  • The New York Jets defense has been torched for the 8th-most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to RBs: 0.25 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
  • Miles Sanders's 6.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 12.9.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • With an atrocious ratio of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Miles Sanders stands among the bottom receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to RBs this year.

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